6 weeks after Brexit and the results are surprising

The Results

We are pleased to bring you the results of our first Post Brexit Poll.

There has been so much talk from politicians and in the media about the possibility of another Referendum - and if there is one how the result might turn out.

So here at Kis we decided to find out just how different this result might be by launching our own set of questions.

We didn’t want to know how you would vote in a new Referendum, but how opinions might have changed over recent weeks: have any of the people who voted to leave the EU now changed their minds, and have some of those who chose to remain now decided against it?

What is clear from our result is that the majority of the 6,000 people who responded to our questions would still vote the same way in a further Referendum if they had the opportunity.

Almost half of the survey - that’s 48.22 per cent - voted Remain in June, and say that they would still vote Remain in any future Referendum.

Meanwhile, a slightly lower proportion - 44.53 per cent - of our respondents said they had voted Leave and would still vote for independence from Europe again.

However, perhaps the most intriguing finding is that a proportion of our respondents would swap the way they voted in June, with more changing to support “Leave” than “Remain”.

If this played out across the country we would still be leaving the EU, which puts paid to the popular theory that the “Leave” vote was whipped up by the campaigners of “Project Fear” and did not have sustainable long-term popular support.

Meanwhile, our poll shows that out of the people who didn’t vote at all first time around would now do so, the largest proportion would opt to remain in the EU, rather than leave. Could it be that these latecomers have been influenced by the economic disruption and political upheaval which we have witnessed since the Brexit decision was announced?

What is clear overall from the lively contributions to the debate surrounding our poll is that the British people now know a lot more about the EU and the issues surrounding our membership than ever before.

However, it is early days to gauge a clear view going forward. The economy, the housing market, unemployment and immigration will all affect the way that individuals think about Europe over coming months.

If the country enters recession, for example, it’s not just about how many “leavers” would vote differently, but how many “remainers” might change their views too, especially if they felt that the country needed to put on a united front.

Alternatively, if the economy gains confidence and the national mood improves, would any initial remainers decide that the “Leave” decision was the better option after all, and change their views accordingly?

In addition, as time goes by, we’d also like to see just how many people who didn’t vote in the original Referendum might start to decide to make their opinions clear - and which way they would go.

That’s why we plan to carry out further regular polls to help us chart and analyse changing opinions.

We hope that you will take part, so please keep checking our website for details, and Follow us on Facebook or Follow us on Twitter to receive our latest updates.

 

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